 |
| Wheat Prices Soar to the Highest Levels in a Decade |
10/27/2006
|
Contact: Contact: Tereasa Waterman (208) 334-2353 Idaho Wheat Commission
|
September and October wheat prices are proving to be the highest Idaho wheat growers have seen in ten years. The U.S. Department of Agriculture recently released its Grain World Markets and Trade numbers tracking world-ending stocks at 119 million metric tons and cut U.S. wheat-ending stocks to 418 million bushels.
Australia, the world’s third largest wheat supplier, has been severely impacted by drought this year, reducing grain harvest, curtailing exports and causing major price and trade impacts on global grain markets. The short supply of wheat from Australia will exacerbate an already tight global situation and result in even further drawdowns in exporters’ stocks.
With wheat in such short supply, the governments of four major exporters (The Ukraine, The EU-25, Australia and Argentina) have restricted exports to protect domestic supplies and keep food prices in check. These actions may lead to increased demand for U.S., Canadian and Russian wheat and push prices even higher (typically low world supplies impact price).
“All of the stars lined up right this year for Idaho wheat growers,” said Blaine Jacobson, Executive Director of the Idaho Wheat Commission. “Although some Idaho wheat farmers experienced a decrease in yields this year, overall Idaho wheat growers are benefiting from drought ravaged areas across the globe.”
According to Jacobson, the market is facing its lowest world supplies since 1982 and the tightest stocks-to-use ratio since the early 1970’s. Prices began to reflect tightening supplies last month when PNW Soft White wheat rose $17 a ton and Hard Red Winter increased $4.00 a ton.
The Idaho Wheat Commission has been tracking historical prices for wheat in Portland and Ogden on its website (www.idahowheat.org/market/pricingcharts/Portland/Ogden). A comparison is shown of average prices over the past 10 years, 5 years and 1 year. While all wheat prices tend to move in the same general direction, year-to-year price variation exists among different wheat classes and protein levels.
|
|